David Broder's August 22, 2004 column in The Washington Post had the headline "Politics on Beaver Island" and was about Mary Stewart Scholl, a Democrat on the Lake Michigan island. In 2000, Bush won Beaver Island over Al Gore, 186 to 173.
"If this election is as close as it now appears, Karl Rove may have to figure out how to land Air Force One on Beaver Island," Broder wrote. " Just to offset Mary Scholl."
A day later, the closeness of the election had shifted decidedly in Kerry's favor, at least according to this Lawrence Journal-World headline for Broder's column: "Kerry has island of support."